Hurricane Intelligence Florida
Hurricane Intelligence Florida: Florida impacts and ENSO, 1851 to present. A JnGmedia property.

Fingerprint matching | 128 storms | 1851-2025

Analog Finder

Two ways in: compare a real storm's track against history, or describe a hypothetical scenario. Analogs are context, never forecasts.

Compare a Real Storm's Track

Pick a storm to see which others ran a similar path, scored two genuinely different ways: how close the tracks actually ran to each other near Florida, and how each storm handled the Florida Straits / Cuba shelf on approach, a narrow shallow shelf that tends to interrupt intensification and produce more erratic short-term heading changes than the deep open Gulf or Atlantic. Both scores show separately on every card, so the ranking is never a black box. Defaults to storms since 1950, where positions come from direct aircraft/satellite tracking rather than reconstructed reports.

clear

Comparing to Eloise (1975) — peak 3 · FL impact 3.

Since 1950 Before 1950 All years (1851-2025)
Top 6 Top 20 All matches

Storms before 1950 predate aircraft and satellite tracking; their positions are reconstructed from ship and coastal reports, so a track-shape match here carries more positional uncertainty than a modern-era one, even when the visual overlap looks striking.

Ranked by near-Florida path first (how close the two tracks actually ran to each other once near the state), then by Straits/Cuba approach (did each handle the shallow shelf the same way on the way in), then by trait match. These answer genuinely different questions -- a storm can wobble identically on approach and still land 300 miles apart, or vice versa -- so they are shown separately, never blended into one number.

Showing 6 matches.

Track colors below are always: teal = Eloise, orange = the comparison storm named in each card. On desktop these show as compact thumbnails, three per row; being vector maps they stay crisp at any size. Click a storm's name to open its own full-size record and track.

Earl (1998) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 7 of 8 same month, category within 1, gulf approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Flossy (1956) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, gulf approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL041887 (1887) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL041877 (1877) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, gulf approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Opal (1995) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Florence (1953) peak 3 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 7 of 8 same month, same peak category, gulf approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida

Describe a Hypothetical Scenario

Scoring weighs month (2), peak category (2), approach side (2), and ENSO phase (1), plus an optional point for rapid intensifiers; each match explains exactly which traits it shares.

Pick at least one trait above to search. Example scenario: October, Category 4, Gulf approach, Neutral phase; three of the last five Gulf-side October majors will look uncomfortably familiar.

Wondering about a storm active right now? The home page shows the latest NHC observations with their historical analogs.

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