Hurricane Intelligence Florida
Hurricane Intelligence Florida: Florida impacts and ENSO, 1851 to present. A JnGmedia property.

Fingerprint matching | 128 storms | 1851-2025

Analog Finder

Two ways in: compare a real storm's track against history, or describe a hypothetical scenario. Analogs are context, never forecasts.

Compare a Real Storm's Track

Pick a storm to see which others ran a similar path, scored two genuinely different ways: how close the tracks actually ran to each other near Florida, and how each storm handled the Florida Straits / Cuba shelf on approach, a narrow shallow shelf that tends to interrupt intensification and produce more erratic short-term heading changes than the deep open Gulf or Atlantic. Both scores show separately on every card, so the ranking is never a black box. Defaults to storms since 1950, where positions come from direct aircraft/satellite tracking rather than reconstructed reports.

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Comparing to AL031912 (1912) — peak 0 · FL impact 1.

Since 1950 Before 1950 All years (1851-2025)
Top 6 Top 20 All matches

Showing storms tracked directly by aircraft and satellite (1950+), the era where a track-shape match is most trustworthy. See all years for the full historical picture, including some striking older matches.

Ranked by near-Florida path first (how close the two tracks actually ran to each other once near the state), then by Straits/Cuba approach (did each handle the shallow shelf the same way on the way in), then by trait match. These answer genuinely different questions -- a storm can wobble identically on approach and still land 300 miles apart, or vice versa -- so they are shown separately, never blended into one number.

Showing 44 matches out of every candidate that scored above zero in this range -- watch the near-Florida number taper toward the bottom of the list; that decay is the ranking actually working, not an artifact.

Track colors below are always: teal = AL031912, orange = the comparison storm named in each card. On desktop these show as compact thumbnails, three per row; being vector maps they stay crisp at any size. Click a storm's name to open its own full-size record and track.

Helene (2024) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, gulf approach
Ian (2022) peak 5 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, gulf approach
Hermine (2016) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, gulf approach
Rita (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, gulf approach
Ivan (2004) peak 5 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, gulf approach
Earl (1998) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, gulf approach
Elena (1985) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, gulf approach
Eloise (1975) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, gulf approach
Flossy (1956) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, gulf approach
Florence (1953) peak 3 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, gulf approach
Easy (1950) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, gulf approach
Debby (2024) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach
Milton (2024) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach
Idalia (2023) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach
Michael (2018) peak 5 · FL impact 5 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach
Wilma (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach
Charley (2004) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach
Opal (1995) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach
Floyd (1987) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach
Gladys (1968) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach
Isbell (1964) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach
Hazel (1953) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach
Baker (1950) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach
Sally (2020) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month
Irma (2017) peak 5 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month
Dennis (2005) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 gulf approach
Frances (2004) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month
Jeanne (2004) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month
Georges (1998) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month
Kate (1985) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 gulf approach
David (1979) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month
Agnes (1972) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 gulf approach
Alma (1966) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 gulf approach
Betsy (1965) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month
Dora (1964) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month
Donna (1960) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month
Matthew (2016) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month
Katrina (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month
Irene (1999) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month
Erin (1995) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month
Andrew (1992) peak 5 · FL impact 5 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month
Inez (1966) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month
Cleo (1964) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month
King (1950) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month

Describe a Hypothetical Scenario

Scoring weighs month (2), peak category (2), approach side (2), and ENSO phase (1), plus an optional point for rapid intensifiers; each match explains exactly which traits it shares.

Pick at least one trait above to search. Example scenario: October, Category 4, Gulf approach, Neutral phase; three of the last five Gulf-side October majors will look uncomfortably familiar.

Wondering about a storm active right now? The home page shows the latest NHC observations with their historical analogs.

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