Hurricane Intelligence Florida: Florida impacts and ENSO, 1851 to present. A JnGmedia property.

Phase vs Phase, 1950-2025 (ONI coverage)

ENSO Laboratory

Head-to-head comparison of the three ENSO phases across every hurricane season from 1950 to 2025. Raw counts alone mislead when the phases occur unequally often, so each column also shows how many total seasons that phase produced, and the share that brought Florida a hurricane. Storms before 1950 predate the ONI record and are listed in the Timeline without a phase.

El Nino

22 seasons in phase

FL impact seasons7 of 22 (32%)
FL hurricanes11
Center landfalls9
Major impacts (Cat 3+)6
Gulf vs Atlantic8 / 3
Gulf 73%Atlantic 27%

La Nina

18 seasons in phase

FL impact seasons7 of 18 (39%)
FL hurricanes11
Center landfalls10
Major impacts (Cat 3+)3
Gulf vs Atlantic5 / 6
Gulf 45%Atlantic 55%

Neutral

36 seasons in phase

FL impact seasons12 of 36 (33%)
FL hurricanes22
Center landfalls17
Major impacts (Cat 3+)9
Gulf vs Atlantic14 / 8
Gulf 64%Atlantic 36%

Approach side is derived from the HURDAT2 track by a documented heuristic, not a NOAA-published field; see the methodology.

Storms Behind the Numbers

All phases El Nino La Nina Neutral
Both approaches Gulf Atlantic

22 storms match.

SeasonStormENSOFL MonthRegionsApproachPeak CatMin P (mb)LandfallJoin
2024MiltonNeutralOctSW2 SE1gulf5895yesname_match
2024HeleneNeutralSepNW4gulf4939yesname_match
2024DebbyNeutralAugNW1gulf1979yesname_match
2017IrmaNeutralSepSW4 SE1atlantic5914yesname_match
2016MatthewNeutralOctNE2atlantic5934noname_match
2016HermineNeutralSepNW1gulf1981yesname_match
2005WilmaNeutralOctSW3 SE2gulf5882yesname_match
2005RitaNeutralSepSW1gulf5895noname_match
2005KatrinaNeutralAugSE1 SW1atlantic5902yesname_match
2005DennisNeutralJulNW3gulf4930yesname_match
1992AndrewNeutralAugSE5 SW4atlantic5922yesname_match
1985KateNeutralNovNW2gulf3954yesname_match
1985ElenaNeutralSepNW3gulf3953noname_match
1979DavidNeutralSepSE2 NE2atlantic5924noname_match
1968GladysNeutralOctNW2 NE1gulf2977yesname_match
1966InezNeutralOctSW2 SE2atlantic5927yesname_match
1966AlmaNeutralJunSW2 NW1gulf3970yesname_match
1960DonnaNeutralSepSW4 SE4 NE1atlantic4930yesname_match
1956FlossyNeutralSepNW1gulf1974yesname_match
1950KingNeutralOctSE4 NE1atlantic4955yesname_match
1950EasyNeutralSepNW3 SW1gulf3960yesname_match
1950BakerNeutralAugNW1gulf2979noname_match

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The export carries every column above plus join confidence, pressure differences, and provenance fields, so the numbers can be verified independently.

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