Hurricane Intelligence Florida
Hurricane Intelligence Florida: Florida impacts and ENSO, 1851 to present. A JnGmedia property.

Fingerprint matching | 128 storms | 1851-2025

Analog Finder

Two ways in: compare a real storm's track against history, or describe a hypothetical scenario. Analogs are context, never forecasts.

Compare a Real Storm's Track

Pick a storm to see which others ran a similar path, scored two genuinely different ways: how close the tracks actually ran to each other near Florida, and how each storm handled the Florida Straits / Cuba shelf on approach, a narrow shallow shelf that tends to interrupt intensification and produce more erratic short-term heading changes than the deep open Gulf or Atlantic. Both scores show separately on every card, so the ranking is never a black box. Defaults to storms since 1950, where positions come from direct aircraft/satellite tracking rather than reconstructed reports.

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Comparing to Great Mobile (1852) — peak 3 · FL impact 2.

Since 1950 Before 1950 All years (1851-2025)
Top 6 Top 20 All matches

Storms before 1950 predate aircraft and satellite tracking; their positions are reconstructed from ship and coastal reports, so a track-shape match here carries more positional uncertainty than a modern-era one, even when the visual overlap looks striking.

Ranked by near-Florida path first (how close the two tracks actually ran to each other once near the state), then by Straits/Cuba approach (did each handle the shallow shelf the same way on the way in), then by trait match. These answer genuinely different questions -- a storm can wobble identically on approach and still land 300 miles apart, or vice versa -- so they are shown separately, never blended into one number.

Showing 80 matches out of every candidate that scored above zero in this range -- watch the near-Florida number taper toward the bottom of the list; that decay is the ranking actually working, not an artifact.

Track colors below are always: teal = Great Mobile, orange = the comparison storm named in each card. On desktop these show as compact thumbnails, three per row; being vector maps they stay crisp at any size. Click a storm's name to open its own full-size record and track.

Key West (1861) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 1.7 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month, similar Florida Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL071935 (1935) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 category within 1, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL021919 (1919) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Great Middle Florida (1851) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 1.5 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 same month, same peak category, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL011896 (1896) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL031932 (1932) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 1.1 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL031888 (1888) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, same peak category, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041915 (1915) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.1 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041947 (1947) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL031891 (1891) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 1.9 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, same peak category, similar Florida Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021929 (1929) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL061906 (1906) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Southeastern States (1856) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 1.1 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 same month, same peak category, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051936 (1936) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 1.9 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, similar Florida Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051933 (1933) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021886 (1886) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL081859 (1859) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051924 (1924) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0.1 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021916 (1916) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Middle Florida (1852) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.1 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Tampa Bay (1921) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041877 (1877) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same peak category, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Great Miami (1926) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL061882 (1882) peak 4 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL101924 (1924) peak 5 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041896 (1896) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041887 (1887) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL011945 (1945) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL071888 (1888) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL061874 (1874) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021899 (1899) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 1.1 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL131944 (1944) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051873 (1873) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same peak category, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL091947 (1947) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041917 (1917) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041886 (1886) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051941 (1941) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same peak category, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL061946 (1946) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL031873 (1873) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Labor Day (1935) peak 5 · FL impact 5 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL031903 (1903) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL061871 (1871) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Twin Key West (I) (1870) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same peak category, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL081948 (1948) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041894 (1894) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, similar Straits approach angle
AL051878 (1878) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, similar Straits approach angle
AL081906 (1906) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same peak category
AL021906 (1906) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 category within 1, somewhat similar Straits approach angle
AL071865 (1865) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble
AL051876 (1876) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same peak category, somewhat similar Straits wobble
AL051910 (1910) peak 4 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach
AL021939 (1939) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month
AL021882 (1882) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle
AL011898 (1898) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month
AL091945 (1945) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits approach angle
AL091948 (1948) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same peak category, similar Florida Straits wobble
AL101926 (1926) peak 4 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble
AL111909 (1909) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.1 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same peak category, gulf approach
AL031911 (1911) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, category within 1, gulf approach
Sea Islands (1893) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, same peak category
AL031871 (1871) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, same peak category
AL041871 (1871) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, same peak category
AL021949 (1949) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same month, category within 1
AL011928 (1928) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same month, category within 1
AL141916 (1916) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach
AL031912 (1912) peak 0 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach
AL011886 (1886) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach
AL041880 (1880) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same month, category within 1
AL021877 (1877) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach
Great Carolina (1854) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category
AL111933 (1933) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1
AL011926 (1926) peak 4 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1
AL011915 (1915) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month
AL011885 (1885) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month
Galveston (1867) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same peak category
Lake Okeechobee (1928) peak 5 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month
AL071898 (1898) peak 4 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 category within 1
AL071894 (1894) peak 2 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 category within 1
AL031859 (1859) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month
AL021852 (1852) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month

Describe a Hypothetical Scenario

Scoring weighs month (2), peak category (2), approach side (2), and ENSO phase (1), plus an optional point for rapid intensifiers; each match explains exactly which traits it shares.

Pick at least one trait above to search. Example scenario: October, Category 4, Gulf approach, Neutral phase; three of the last five Gulf-side October majors will look uncomfortably familiar.

Wondering about a storm active right now? The home page shows the latest NHC observations with their historical analogs.

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